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megawill
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 Posted: 10/29/04 - 11:55 Post subject: Time for your prediction -- Final Electoral College Count
Look at an electoral college map --- there are several online --- my favorite is the LA Times (requires registration) --- because it gives you the latest poll data in each state...
I'm not asking who you are voting for -- just your predicted electoral college outcome.
Here is mine -- Kerry wins MN, WI, MI, OH, PA, NJ, NM
Bush takes FL, AR, MO, IA, NV and CO
Final outcome:
Kerry - 277
Bush - 261
Closest wins:
virtual slap on the back!
---
megawill
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megawill
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 12:13 Post subject:
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camelia bedelia
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 12:14 Post subject: Re: Time for your prediction -- Final Electoral College Coun
| megawill wrote: | Look at an electoral college map --- there are several online --- my favorite is the LA Times (requires registration) --- because it gives you the latest poll data in each state...
I'm not asking who you are voting for -- just your predicted electoral college outcome.
Here is mine -- Kerry wins MN, WI, MI, OH, PA, NJ, NM
Bush takes FL, AR, MO, IA, NV and CO
Final outcome:
Kerry - 277
Bush - 261
Closest wins:
virtual slap on the back!
---
megawill |
psssst, dear! There are more than 13 states in the US. You forgot a few.
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megawill
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 12:17 Post subject: Re: Time for your prediction -- Final Electoral College Coun
| camelia bedelia wrote: |
psssst, dear! There are more than 13 states in the US. You forgot a few. |
I'm just including my scenario among some of the closest (swing states) races....
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megawill
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Cappy
Excelent
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 12:30 Post subject:
I got:
Bush: 299
Kerry: 239
Upset is that Pennsylvania goes to Bush
I am giving most of the upper midwest, most of the Northeast, the Pacific States, to Kerry
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AlaninTX
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 12:38 Post subject:
Kerry 272
Bush 266
Kerry takes MN, WI, OH, PA, NJ
Bush takes FL, AK, MO, IA, NV, CO, NM
Race turns of Wisconson.
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Wicked Flea
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 12:41 Post subject:
Kerry/Edwards 269 (FL, WI, MI, PA, NH)
Bush/Cheney 269 (NV, CO, NM, IA, OH, MN)
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thegman
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 13:36 Post subject:
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RexRacer
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 13:59 Post subject:
I will defer to Alan up to this point on numbers, he and I have it about the same but I think NV will go Kerry based on a strong union vote coming out of Las vegas.
So:
Kerry 273
Bush 265
But I think Kerry will take the popular vote by a larger margin than Gore did in 2000.
I feel about this election the same way I did about the Sox victory. I don't want to jinx anything but I did pick up a Tuesday night bottle of champagne at the State Store 
Weather anyone? 50% chance of rain in Philly on Tuesday, don't recall how the rest of the country (or Northeast) looks. Could be a factor but maybe not much given the alignment of the country at this moment.
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elkid
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 14:07 Post subject:
Unlike Cappy, I predict Kerry will take PA.
I also predict someone will win, someone will lose, and everyone will be pissed for some reason.
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megawill
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 14:09 Post subject:
| elkid wrote: | | I also predict someone will win, someone will lose, and everyone will be pissed for some reason. |
ding! ding! we have a winnah!!! 
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megawill
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Sahara
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 14:25 Post subject:
I predict that the two true swing states are Michigan and Florida. I've guessed that they will go to Kerry. My other predictions based on my gut and not much else:
Kerry/Edwards: NV, CO, MN, MI, OH, FL (265)
Bush/Cheney: , NH< PA, WI, IA, NM, NV (273)
Again, just best guessing on my limited knowledge and gut.
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jrjo
Gone Fishin
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 16:30 Post subject:
Bush/Cheney 292, Kerry/Edwards 246
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runaroundsue
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 16:46 Post subject:
| AlaninTX wrote: | Kerry 272
Bush 266
Kerry takes MN, WI, OH, PA, NJ
Bush takes FL, AK, MO, IA, NV, CO, NM
Race turns of Wisconson. |
I'm going with this...but I think Kerry might get NM and I think WI will be this years FL....with all eyes on the Milwaukee area for fraud. Kerry will get the vote and Bush will call a recount. I was surprised that he didn't in 2000. Kerry will call recount in IA. Maybe in SD....how hard could it be to count 50 cards, huh, coach?
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Pug
The Movie Geek
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Posted: 10/29/04 - 16:51 Post subject:
| runaroundsue wrote: |
I'm going with this...but I think Kerry might get NM and I think WI will be this years FL....with all eyes on the Milwaukee area for fraud. Kerry will get the vote and Bush will call a recount. I was surprised that he didn't in 2000. Kerry will call recount in IA. Maybe in SD....how hard could it be to count 50 cards, huh, coach? |
One of my friends is living in Michigan this year for Seminary, so, 49 cards.
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