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andydp
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Joined: 23 Sep 2003
Posts: 8122
Location: Upstate NY near Albany
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 Posted: 02/03/06 - 16:28 Post subject: Heresy in Florida !!!
How dare "know it all" scientists question Phil ?
Groundhog flops as weather forecaster
04 February 2006
TALLAHASSEE: Groundhog Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow when he emerged from hibernation in Pennsylvania yesterday to predict six more weeks of winter but his methods failed peer review by scientists at the world's largest weather convention.
Phil's prognosticating prowess was scrutinised earlier in the week by the scientists at 86th annual convention of American Meteorology Society in Atlanta but he failed to impress.
One researcher noted that the groundhog's accuracy since the predictions were first recorded in 1887 languished at 39 per cent.
Legend has it that when the rodent emerges from hibernation on February 2 and sees its shadow it means six more weeks of winter. If he does not see his shadow, spring is near. The groundhog's staged emergence draws thousands of fans each year and has even been the subject of a movie.
But his fame failed to sway the scientists in Atlanta.
Though unsure whether a recent rise in world temperatures was a product of global warming or of natural variations, a group of meteorology students from Purdue University made short work of the groundhog debate.
"They are horrible forecasters," said Kim Klockow during the convention in Atlanta. "We still love them and all, but better to flip a coin."
"The movie was awesome, though," said Hans Schmitz, referring to the 1993 film starring Bill Murray as a weatherman forced to repeatedly relive Groundhog Day.
Greg Mandt, director of science and technology at the National Weather Service, was even less concerned about the groundhog.
He was focussing on more advanced forecasting tools –
arrival soon of the agency's newest fleet of high-tech polar orbiting satellites, which will replace an ageing system from the 1970s.
The next generation systems will improve by 1,000-fold the amount of data on temperature, moisture and a host of other weather determining factors.
When asked about the groundhog, the only rodent to grace US calendars with its own holiday, Mandt responded in the measured tones of a scientist.
"I don't think I would base a forecast on it," Mandt said.
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prohemp
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Joined: 14 May 2002
Posts: 7716
Location: in the cradle of liberty
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Posted: 02/03/06 - 17:37 Post subject:
groundhog day is just another excuse to pop open a few beers early in the morning.....
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Cappy
Excelent
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Joined: 16 May 2002
Posts: 27368
Location: Spreadsheetylvania
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Posted: 02/03/06 - 18:04 Post subject:
| prohemp wrote: | | groundhog day is just another excuse to pop open a few beers early in the morning..... |
Kinda like tailgating before Wing Bowl XXIV
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rolling rock
The Pinball
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Joined: 15 May 2002
Posts: 16218
Location: unknown zone
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Posted: 02/03/06 - 18:46 Post subject:
i've always wanted Phil to poo on that guy.
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HYPERASHEL
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Joined: 18 Nov 2003
Posts: 15397
Location: The South's Sauna, Atlanta
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Posted: 02/03/06 - 18:58 Post subject:
| rolling rock wrote: | | i've always wanted Phil to poo on that guy. |
a real good, first just out of hibernation kind of poo.  i bet that would be copius and stanky.  
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